{"id":9768,"date":"2023-04-17T18:24:14","date_gmt":"2023-04-17T21:24:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/fund.ar\/publicacion\/argentina-dual-currency-regime-how-to-save-the-peso-and-not-die-trying\/"},"modified":"2024-04-23T11:51:01","modified_gmt":"2024-04-23T14:51:01","slug":"argentina-dual-currency-regime","status":"publish","type":"publicacion","link":"https:\/\/fund.ar\/en\/publicacion\/argentina-dual-currency-regime\/","title":{"rendered":"Argentina dual currency regime: How to save the peso (and not die trying)"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"9768\" class=\"elementor elementor-9768 elementor-7349\" data-elementor-post-type=\"publicacion\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-a7e3a6d elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"a7e3a6d\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-8711a07\" data-id=\"8711a07\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b4bbc37 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"b4bbc37\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong>Argentina\u2019s economy has a dual currency regime. This phenomenon has resulted from a history of high inflation rates and economic disruptions such as devaluations, public debt defaults and deposit freezes. The solutions to this dual currency regime range from dollarization to a recovery of the national currency. Since a dollarization necessarily entails sacrificing critical economic policy instruments and a dramatic tightening, recovering the peso is imperative to promote development. The initial conditions for both are similar. Then, why relinquish the national currency?<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-9e425e6 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"9e425e6\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-d872bb5\" data-id=\"d872bb5\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-602f94b elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"602f94b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Illustration: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/noe_garin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Noe Garin<\/a><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-f8d25a3 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"f8d25a3\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-2980cf5\" data-id=\"2980cf5\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-18c8630 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"18c8630\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-2f4eb76 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"2f4eb76\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-976b8e1\" data-id=\"976b8e1\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c2323e elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c2323e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">What is a dual currency regime?<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-0f2d416 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"0f2d416\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-091c051\" data-id=\"091c051\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a02f031 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"a02f031\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Currencies must serve three key functions: providing a reference of the value of things, allowing us to buy things and storing while preserving value. These functions are closely intertwined. A currency that works as a good payment method and allows us to acquire goods at relatively stable and predictable costs is one that will naturally be chosen when setting a price, and also to be demanded as a store of value. Conversely, a currency that fails to fulfill one of these purposes is liable to fail to fulfill others and will more likely be replaced by an alternative currency.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cDual currency system\u201d or \u201cpartial dollarization\u201d are terms usually employed to describe the use of a currency other than the domestic currency (in this case, the US dollar) for at least one of the purposes described above. We speak of \u201cactual dollarization\u201d when foreign currency is used as a means of payment (buying) and unit of account (price-setting), while \u201cfinancial dollarization\u201d refers to the use of currency as value reserve (saving).<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This term describes the prevailing situation in many countries, including Argentina, where although the peso functions to a large extent as a means of payment, it seems to have lost its function as a unit of account and more importantly as a value reserve. This dual currency economy impairs the effectiveness of fiscal, monetary and exchange policies, impedes the development of the domestic capital market and creates an extra demand for dollars beyond what is needed to produce and consume.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-7a23a7b elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"7a23a7b\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-01e595b\" data-id=\"01e595b\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5b923cf elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"5b923cf\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Argentina\u2019s dual currency: Where we stand and how we got here<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-350ae73 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"350ae73\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-f0bd7ed\" data-id=\"f0bd7ed\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6e1c981 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"6e1c981\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The dual currency phenomenon is not privy to Argentina or its idiosyncrasy. There are underlying economic factors. One of such factors is inflation, which discourages contracts in pesos so that real estate, for example, is usually sold and bought in dollars. Another factor is the historic evolution of the value of the Argentine peso.<\/span><\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-2a6589e elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"2a6589e\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-ea58a15\" data-id=\"ea58a15\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-84b76da elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"84b76da\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-ab0aff2\" data-id=\"ab0aff2\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6965de8 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"6965de8\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Over the last three decades, those who bet on the peso have consistently lost. Partly because the CD\u2019s interest rate has not always outperformed the dollar\u2019s appreciation against the peso. But above all because of the frequent disruptive events (such as defaults, bank deposit freezes, tampering with official statistics, abrupt devaluations and exchange market restrictions \u2014<\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">cepo\u2014<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">) that have favored those who saved in foreign currency. This might explain why there are over 260 billion dollars outside of the Argentine financial system.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This progressive adoption of an alternative currency is neither linear nor easily reversible. The demand for dollars for saving exerts pressure on the exchange rate. In an inflationary context, this causes a greater passthrough of devaluations to prices. In turn, volatility encourages savings and investment in dollars, which halts the development of the local currency capital market. Less is invested in domestic bonds and Argentine companies shares, resulting in reduced financing capacity for both the State and companies. This also impacts economic growth and exports, leading to a decrease in the supply of dollars and more pressure on the exchange rate. Unless bimonetarism is reversed, an export boom will not be enough to solve these issues.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One alternative currently being discussed is to adopt the US dollar as official currency instead of the peso. Although this could help overcome some of the instability factors, it would fail to solve them entirely and would come at the high cost of sacrificing fundamental policy instruments (such as exchange regulations) to absorb exogenous shocks, reduce volatility and efficiently conduct macroeconomic policy.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Another option is to take the opposite approach and bet on strengthening the value of the domestic currency. This line of action, along with other measures aimed at an overall stabilization of the economy, could provide greater flexibility in implementing economic policies and promoting development.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-347844a elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"347844a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"874\" height=\"788\" src=\"https:\/\/fund.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FU_GraficosArgentinaBimonetaria-1Web-ENG.jpg\" class=\"attachment-full size-full wp-image-9915\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fund.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FU_GraficosArgentinaBimonetaria-1Web-ENG.jpg 874w, https:\/\/fund.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FU_GraficosArgentinaBimonetaria-1Web-ENG-300x270.jpg 300w, https:\/\/fund.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FU_GraficosArgentinaBimonetaria-1Web-ENG-768x692.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 874px) 100vw, 874px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-2d01ef4 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"2d01ef4\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-cc9f251\" data-id=\"cc9f251\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3024e1e elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"3024e1e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">What would be the consequences of dollarizing Argentina\u2019s economy?<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-cafd5d4 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"cafd5d4\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-76e42e3\" data-id=\"76e42e3\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-66ce89e elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"66ce89e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dollarization is the decision of a government to formally replace its national currency with the US dollar for all three money functions. The dollar has been adopted as official currency by Panama, El Salvador, Ecuador, Montenegro, Palaus, Kosovo, Marshall Islands, Federated States of Micronesia, and East Timor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dollarization would require addressing at least two critical issues: exchanging all the pesos in the economy for dollars and balancing public revenues and spending.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The former requires setting the exchange rate at which dollarization would be carried out. This is done by dividing the amount of pesos in the economy by the international reserves of Argentina\u2019s Central Bank (BCRA). As of early March 2023, the BCRA&#8217;s net reserves were around 2.3 billion dollars. Hence, the exchange rate applicable to replace only the monetary base (5,242.21 billion pesos) would be around 2,280 pesos per dollar. Nonetheless, Argentine deposits are backed by the Central Bank\u2019s interest-bearing liabilities. If we consider converting these interest-bearing liabilities too (11,017.136 billion pesos), the exchange rate rises to approximately 7,070 pesos per dollar. In both cases, this implies a strong adjustment and a significant loss of purchasing power.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The latter challenge is balancing public revenues and spending. As printing money is not a feasible option, the only viable alternatives for the State to bridge the gap between public revenues and spending include taking debt, increasing taxes, or cutting down spending.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Promoters of this line of action assume that the mere announcement of dollarization (and the reforms required to implement it) would be enough to restore the confidence of international markets and generate \u201ca wave of investments\u201d to avoid this deficit. However, the experience of Ecuador, Panama and El Salvador have shown the situation is more complex. In these cases, dollarization has exacerbated \u2014or at least has not helped to reduce\u2014 economic volatility. It has not barred the possibility of incurring unsustainable fiscal deficits and indebtedness, nor has it improved financing for the public and private sectors.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Some additional conditions are necessary for a successful dollarization. Both fiscal and trade deficits must be reduced to bankable levels, international reserves must be built, and relative prices aligned (exchange rate and tariffs), in addition to implementing a salary adjustment policy to curb inertia, which could lead to residual inflation in dollars and undermine competitiveness. These conditions are not different from those required for a stabilization program maintaining the domestic currency. Therefore, if and when these conditions are met, why stabilize the economy by resigning the domestic currency if it could be done by strengthening it instead?<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-b2dbbee elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"b2dbbee\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-f0ca564\" data-id=\"f0ca564\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-24761d7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"24761d7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Overcoming the Dollarization of the Argentine Economy?<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-d32253d elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"d32253d\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-2825c06\" data-id=\"2825c06\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-dcb497b elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"dcb497b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The alternative to dollarization is to implement a public policy agenda to strengthen the domestic currency in all its functions. The regional experience and literature both show that this process will take time, but it is not impossible. Virtually all countries in our region, including very diverse cases such as Brazil, Bolivia, Chile, Mexico, Colombia, Peru, and Uruguay, have managed to curb inflation without sacrificing their domestic currency or unnecessarily forfeiting their policy-setting freedom.<\/span><\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-7973870 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"7973870\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-1b8d857\" data-id=\"1b8d857\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-57fe2fc elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"57fe2fc\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"874\" height=\"715\" src=\"https:\/\/fund.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FU_GraficosArgentinaBimonetaria2-Web-ENG.jpg\" class=\"attachment-full size-full wp-image-9917\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fund.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FU_GraficosArgentinaBimonetaria2-Web-ENG.jpg 874w, https:\/\/fund.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FU_GraficosArgentinaBimonetaria2-Web-ENG-300x245.jpg 300w, https:\/\/fund.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/FU_GraficosArgentinaBimonetaria2-Web-ENG-768x628.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 874px) 100vw, 874px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-cf4faba elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"cf4faba\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-856cfc9\" data-id=\"856cfc9\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ddb5f54 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"ddb5f54\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">What to do:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Stabilize the economy.<\/span><\/li>\n<li>Create real and sustained incentives for saving in pesos: To restore the currency&#8217;s function as a store of value, the interest rate of peso-denominated deposits needs to outperform inflation forecasts as well as the expected rate of return of dollar-denominated alternatives. To achieve this, it is essential to avoid significant exchange rate adjustments.<\/li>\n<li>Establish cautious regulations and articulation policies: Peso-denominated deposits must be encouraged by setting lower mandatory cash reserves for peso-denominated deposits than for dollar-denominated deposits, limiting insurance only to peso-denominated deposits. To encourage the use of the local currency as a unit of account and means of payment, measures are needed to induce the listing of prices in pesos.<\/li>\n<li>Supplement markets: In order to strengthen the power of the local currency as a store of value, the public sector must be able to provide short-, mid- and long-term peso denominated instruments. This will enable banks to offer peso-denominated loans to the private sector with varying maturities.<\/li>\n<li>Discourage indexation of contracts: While indexation allows to protect some of the currency functions in an inflationary environment, it does so at the cost of entrenching inertia and establishing a very difficult-to-break inflation threshold.<\/li>\n<li>Be cautious about dollar circulation: If the dollar is allowed to circulate, strict supervision policies are recommended to prevent individuals from saving in this currency outside the system, as it may increase the risk of bimonetarism.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-2815477 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"2815477\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-f58bc84\" data-id=\"f58bc84\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5699006 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"5699006\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">What not to do:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Compulsively convert dollar deposits into pesos, since this reinforces the incentives to save in foreign currency.<\/span><\/li>\n<li>Destroy public statistics. This undermines confidence, especially when the return on peso-denominated instruments is tied to inflation.<\/li>\n<li>Defaulting on peso-denominated debt is unnecessary and is the most drastic way to undermine the domestic currency.<\/li>\n<li>Apply foreign exchange market restrictions broadly instead of as a last resort, as they can create significant distortions and counterproductive incentives.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-cc6ecd7 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"cc6ecd7\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-93fb7db\" data-id=\"93fb7db\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-78cb115 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"78cb115\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Some of these measures may seem unlikely in the current context, but they may be attainable with a stabilization process. Stabilizing and strengthening our own currency takes time: it requires the political arc to find a minimum common ground to sustain policies over time, no matter the governing party. The region\u00b4s success stories show that it is possible and alternative analysis suggests it is desirable.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"featured_media":11486,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"tipo":[160,154],"serie":[],"desafios":[128,248],"agendas":[],"class_list":["post-9768","publicacion","type-publicacion","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tipo-policy-brief-en","tipo-working-document","desafios-desarrollo-productivo","desafios-economic-stability"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Argentina dual currency regime: How to save the peso (and not die trying)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Consequences of dollarization and alternatives to stabilize the Argentine economy by 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